Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts

Monday, May 14, 2012

You all remember the Millington Massacre, right?

Somehow, and I really don't know exactly how, I've been included on the fundraising mailing list for the Tuscola County, Michigan's Sheriff.  Thanks to a scan from my Uncle I've been able to examine the most recent mailing, a letter from the Sheriff seeking donations to the Michigan Sheriff's Association.

One thing that amazed me about the letter, though it probably shouldn't have, was the clear inclination to emphasize threats to the community and the pervasiveness of crime.  In just the second sentence the letter warns that
Every day we hear of the ravaging effects of violence, theft, predators, drug abuse, and many other deadly types of crime.
Seems to me that the Sheriffs might be better served by focusing on the good work they've already been doing preventing crime rather than emphasizing the continuing spread of crime under their watch. You know, provide some evidence that existence of Sheriffs helps keep a lid on crime rather than implying that crime has continued to spread.  But this disinclination to highlight achievements was really hammered home when by the Sheriff suggesting not that he is busy doing everything is his power to keep you safe, but that "I will do everything in my power to keep you safe [emphasis in original]." I can't help but come away with the feeling that the message is that he will step up to the plate and start doing his job, the job for which he is currently being paid by the County, once the voters have made enough donations to his Association.  Or am I being to cynical? 


(I was curious to know how much crime there is in Tuscola County and how many of the reported crimes are resolved, so I visited a Michigan State Police site that provides crime and arrest stats on county and agency basis.  It seems that in 2010 the Tuscola County Sheriff received 89 reports of Burglary - Forced Entry while the county total was 179. As far as arrests go, the Tuscola County Sheriff reported 7 Burglary - Forced Entry arrests while the arrest total for the county was 18.  I should also mention that in the same year there were zero murders reported and zero arrests for murder.)


Anyway, fear mongering aside, the part of the letter that really got under my skin was the following sentence.
My law enforcement officers witness some of the worst crimes against humanity.
Really?  Are you sure about that?


At this point I think it is important to think about what a crime against humanity really is, and whether or not such crimes really exist in a rural county in one of the richest countries in the world.  The Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court defines crimes against humanity as follows:

1. For the purpose of this Statute, "crime against humanity" means any of the following acts when committed as part of a widespread or systematic attack directed against any civilian population, with knowledge of the attack:
    (a)     Murder;(b)     Extermination;
    (c)     Enslavement;
    (d)     Deportation or forcible transfer of population;
    (e)     Imprisonment or other severe deprivation of physical liberty in violation of fundamental rules of international law;
    (f)     Torture;
    (g)     Rape, sexual slavery, enforced prostitution, forced pregnancy, enforced sterilization, or any other form of sexual violence of comparable gravity;
    (h)     Persecution against any identifiable group or collectivity on political, racial, national, ethnic, cultural, religious, gender as defined in paragraph 3, or other grounds that are universally recognized as impermissible under international law, in connection with any act referred to in this paragraph or any crime within the jurisdiction of the Court;
    (i)     Enforced disappearance of persons;
    (j)     The crime of apartheid;
    (k)     Other inhumane acts of a similar character intentionally causing great suffering, or serious injury to body or to mental or physical health.

Unless the "crime against humanity" the Sheriff is talking about is simply the "great suffering, or serious injury to body or to mental or physical health" that may come as a result of living in Michigan, I have a hard time imagining that the Sheriff of Tuscola County, Michigan's "law enforcement officers witness some of the worst crimes against humanity."  Not only do I doubt that they witness the "some of the worst crimes against humanity," I doubt they even witness any such crimes.

So not only does this letter betray a limited understanding of the term 'crime against humanity,' I think it goes one step further.  By labelling run-of-the-mill rural crimes as 'crimes against humanity' the significance of the term in the global context risks being diminished.  By using the term in this way at least one key aspect of the concept, which is that the crimes must be "committed as part of a widespread or systematic attack directed against any civilian population," is lost.  Thus recipients of this letter, or other individuals who've seen the word used in a similar way, may not understand the significance and particular meaning of the term.  When they hear the term in relation to a real 'crime against humanity' they may not understand the widespread nature of the crime that the term is meant to indicate.  We risk diminishing our common understanding and appreciation of the particularly heinous nature of this class of crime, a class of crime that has included such things as the Holocaust and the Rwandan genocide.

Sure, to quote Cheech and Chong, "Things are tough all over," but that doesn't mean that when describing these problems we should overemphasize the frequency of their occurrence or overstate the nature of the problem.  Not only does the bearer of this questionable news risk undermining their own credibility, but they risk diminishing our collective understanding of important and meaningful concepts like 'crimes against humanity' that have very specific definitions and are thus not something that should be used as a rhetorical tool.

Sunday, January 29, 2012

This is surprising

Just a few minutes ago I decided to find some census data from the US.  I was mainly curious to see how much things had changed between the early 1980s and now.

While looking at the United States' Census' QuickFacts page I came across a few quick facts that surprised me.

First of all, who knew that the population grew by almost 10% over from 2000 and 2010?  That seems like a pretty substantial growth rate.

Secondly, who had any idea that even with the aging baby boomer cohort and increasing life-spans that people over 65 only account for 13% of the population.  This is all the more impressive/surprising when it is contrasted with the 24% of the population that is under 18.  Who knew there were so many young'uns out there?  Presumably this kind of population dynamic will mean a safe future for Social Security?

Finally, apparently only 85% of those over 25 have graduated from high school in the United States.  This seems a little low to me, but what do I know.

Monday, November 08, 2010

Back Up and At'em

It seems that Statistics Canada's website is back online and fully functional, apparently yesterday's service disruption was not an indication that the agency was calling it quits because of political tension. So if the Okanagan College library was right, and it was just a routine service issue, the issue of insufficient information still remains. Why would Statistics Canada not include an announcement indicating that their site was undergoing routine maintenance operations and would be out of commission for several hours? Maybe this was too easy? Not enough intrigue would have been caused?

Sunday, November 07, 2010

Are they just going to close up shop?

As many of you will know, the advice given by Statistics Canada staff to the government about the mandatory long-form census was ignored. This situation eventually resulted in the resignation of the head of the agency and a relatively large public outcry. I am starting to wonder if this situation has also now lead to the destruction of the Statistics Canada website, which presently seems to be down. The only comment given on the splash page is

"We're sorry! The website is currently unavailable. We apologize for any inconvenience."


While they suggest that interest surfers can head over to the Census for some information it turns out that data normally available through that site is also unavailable. Suspicious, to say the least.

I really feel as though I have no choice but to understand this disruption of service as an outcome of the dispute between the public service and the government of the day, nothing else could possibly explain such a strange service disruption. Of course, assuming that this general interpretation is correct I have no idea how exactly to interpret this turn of events. Was the site sabotaged by disgruntled public servants? Was the site taken off-line by the government with the hopes that if fewer people could access the 2006 Census results they would be less upset about the fact that the 2011 Census will have inferior data?

Anyway, hopefully the problems will soon be resolved so that I can figure out what percentage of Newfoundland residents have high school diplomas.

Update: At least one library seems to think that the fact that the website is down is just part of a scheduled maintenance outage. This seems suspicious as no such comment is included on the Statistics Canada splash page and such a comment would have been just as easy to include as was the comment about going to the Census page. And then there is the recommendation that people go to the non-functional Census page. All-in-all there is something very fishy going on, and I am pretty sure 'routine maintenance' is just an all-to-easy cover up.

Sunday, February 08, 2009

My one-track mind

It seems that since yesterday I haven't been able to get past the idea of comparisons of sizes of population units with one another. My new kick seems to be to compare census metropolitan areas (CMAs) with larger units.

Due to popular demand I have now added a few of Canada's smaller, though still sizable, municipalities and CMAs. Presumably if I come up with more comparisons in the coming days you will be able to find them here soon after I have completed compiling the tables.



Errata: Manitoba, with a population of 1 210 547, should appear between Montreal (V) and Ottawa/Gatineau (CMA).

Sources:

1. Statistics Canada, Quarterly Demographic Estimates (2008 numbers)

2. Statistics Canada, By census metropolitan area (CMA) or census agglomeration (CA), (2006 numbers)

3. Statistics Canada, All census subdivisions (CSDs), (2006 numbers)








Sources:

1. Statistics Canada, By census metropolitan area (CMA) or census agglomeration (CA), (2006 numbers)

2. Statistics Canada, All census subdivisions (CSDs), (2006 numbers)

3. Statistics Canada, Quarterly Demographic Estimates (2008 numbers)


Blog-off
Cameron: 9
Neil: 0

Saturday, February 07, 2009

More population comparisons

A few days ago I posted a table that listed the provinces, metropolitan areas, and municipalities ordered by population. As you might have noticed, this first table is quite similar to the one that was posted a few days ago, the main differences are a change in terminology and a correction in one of the Winnipeg listings.



Errata: The superscript '3' by Hamilton should actually be a superscript '2.'

Sources:

1. Statistics Canada, Quarterly Demographic Estimates (2008 numbers)

2. Statistics Canada, By census metropolitan area (CMA) or census agglomeration (CA), (2006 numbers)

3. Statistics Canada, All census subdivisions (CSDs), (2006 numbers)

This second table is what seems to me to be the obvious continuation of the first, a representation of size of cities relative to their metropolitan areas. As you can see, Canada's largest cities comprise less than half of their respective metropolitan areas. It seems that it might be worth noting that Calgary, a city that has been experiencing a population boom in recent years, stands apart from some of Canada's older and more established cities in terms of its development patterns. Though it isn't on the table, and it isn't as large, Winnipeg is another city that comprises the vast majority of the metropolitan area.



Sources:

1. Statistics Canada, By census metropolitan area (CMA) or census agglomeration (CA), (2006 numbers)

2. Statistics Canada, All census subdivisions (CSDs), (2006 numbers)

Blog-off
Cameron: 8
Neil: 0

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

A Few Quick Notes 210

-Though we started the day with overcast skies and high humidity,
things seemed to have turned around. Instead of the mid-day
thundershowers that were predicted we seem to have the clearing skies
that were called for later in the day.

I just hope that this holds until about 8:30 this evening.

-I have my second Ultimate game of the week this evening. Tonight we
will be playing at the slightly sloped Brother Egan field. As it
happens, this is our last game of regular season play. At some point
in the coming days we will have to figure out our play-off position
and schedule.

-Last night, for the first time this summer, a few of us went to the
Rose and Thistle for their weekly trivia night. While we didn't win I
think we put in a respectable showing, and I know that I had a very
good time.

As much as a fan of Bitters' trivia, I am becoming more convinced that
the Rose and Thistle format is better. Having only questions allows
for a more relaxed pace. Additionally, the starting hour can be later
and the finishing hour earlier. Also, by counting down from 30 until
a winner is found is a very effective way of creating suspense among
the participants.

-According to the 1982 Report on the Births Marriages and Deaths in
the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador the rate of illegitimate
births (per 1000 births) rose from 113.0 to 196.1 between 1973 and
1982. It seems that this is the last year that these statistics were
included in this particular report.

-Last night Mike made a comment about wanting to sign up to a personal
newsletter, if I actually had one. I was then able to remind him that
I do have a blog, and the blog is set-up in such a way that it will
send subscribers daily email updates. While I think he found the
comment amusing and informative, I am not sure if he was persuaded to
sign up for the daily email (even though it is a great way to keep up
with all the goings on at Montifax).